Articles

Testimony on Third-Party Ballot Access in North Carolina

Below is a copy of my written testimony to the North Carolina House Oversight and Reform Committee on the North Carolina State Board’s recent decision to certify the Constitution and We the People parties while not certifying the Justice for All Party. It is substantially the same as the spoken testimony I provided to the...
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Many North Carolina Voters have Switched Registrations from Democrats to Unaffiliated Since 2020

(This post was made possible with research by Thomas Allen.) I wrote on July 3 about how North Carolina’s electorate has changed since the 2020 election. There were three main takeaways: Democrat registrations have declined a lot (a net loss of 219,230 registrations from November 3, 2020, to June 23, 2024), Republican registrations have increased...
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Democrats Have Declined in North Carolina since 2020

North Carolina is experiencing rapid political shifts, which means that the state is politically different from what it was just four years ago. Rapid Registration Shifts Statewide As seen at the John Locke Foundation’s Voter Registration Changes page, those changes can be summarized as: Democrat registrations have declined a lot (a net loss of 219,230...
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Limitations on Transparency: Pulling Back the Curtain on North Carolina’s Campaign Finances

The recent injection of campaign finance law changes into the HB237 conference report has garnered massive attention from both the media and the public. Many of them are unfamiliar with the nuances of the states’ laws governing donations from 527s (your typical political party committee/ type of political action committee) or the various types of...
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We Can and Should Remove the Literacy Test from the State Constitution

The literacy test should be removed from the North Carolina State ConstitutionRemoving the literacy test may be difficultThose favoring literacy test repeal must act strategically to ensure its passage The North Carolina State Constitution includes a literacy test provision that was specifically used to prevent black people from registering to vote. The General Assembly should...
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Prepared Public Comment for the Senate’s Constitutional Amendment on Citizen-Only Voting

Below is my prepared public comment before the North Carolina Senate Redistricting and Elections Committee Committee on June 20, 2024, in support of Senate Bill 630 “Constitutional Amendment/Citizens-Only Voting”. “I am Jim Stirling with the John Locke Foundation. I speak in favor of Senate Bill 630, the constitutional amendment for citizens-only voting in North Carolina. ...
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What are the Impacts of HB237’s Campaign Finance Changes?

The North Carolina Legislature presented the conference report on its masking bill, HB237.  While the bill had garnered some controversy over its broad language banning masks, a recent conference report has arguably become more contentious with campaign finance changes that were inserted into the bill.    The campaign finance changes had not appeared in any...
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Will the State Board of Elections Try Again to Stop Third Parties that Democrats Fear?

(Photo of Cornel West by Gage Skidmore.) Three political parties have submitted petitions with more than enough verified signatures to be recognized by the North Carolina State Board of Elections (SBE). If the board recognizes them, they will be able to place candidates on the ballot this November. However, two of those parties are dealing...
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Prepared Public Comment in Favor of a Citizen-Only Voting Constitutional Amendment

Below is my prepared public comment before the North Carolina House Election Law and Campaign Finance Reform Committee on June 5, 2024, in support of House Bill 1074, Constitutional Amendment/Citizens-Only Voting. I am Andy Jackson with the John Locke Foundation. I speak in favor of House Bill 1074, the constitutional amendment for citizens-only voting in...
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Poll: North Carolinians Support Citizen-Only Voting in a Landslide

I noted last week why the North Carolina General Assembly should let a citizen-only voting constitutional amendment come up for a vote of the people: The state constitution should be amended to state clearly that only United States citizens can vote in North Carolina, using language so unambiguous that even ambitious politicians or activist judges...
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The North Carolina Constitution Should Limit Voting Rights to Citizens

Only U.S. citizens should be allowed to vote in North Carolina electionsNorth Carolina’s current protection of citizen-only voting is inadequateWe should add a citizen-only voting amendment to the North Carolina State Constitution Who can or cannot vote is a foundational question for a republic. To counter a growing movement to allow noncitizens to vote, North...
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Anti-Gerrymandering Measure Belongs in the North Carolina Constitution

Minimizing the number of split counties limits gerrymanderingThe court-imposed Stephenson process restricts the number of county splitsThe Stephenson process should be added to the North Carolina Constitution The North Carolina State Constitution already requires the General Assembly to have as few county splits as possible when drawing state legislative districts. It is time to add...
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What are the rules for North Carolina’s Runoff Elections?

Early voting for North Carolina’s second primary (commonly referred to as runoffs) begins Thursday, April 25th. All 100 counties will be involved in this year’s second primary due to the two runoff elections for Republicans seeking statewide office. During a second primary election, many of the rules stay the same as they would for a...
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Latest Allegations Are Part of a Sordid History of Vote Buying in North Carolina

A court filing has revealed serious allegations of vote buying in a county commissioner race in the March 5 primary. While shocking, vote buying is hardly new in North Carolina. Allegations of Buying Votes in Robeson County Lacy Cummings, who lost to Sampson in the March 5 Democratic primary 875 to 870, filed the court...
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Latest Allegations Are Part of a Sorted History of Vote Buying in North Carolina

A court filing has revealed serious allegations of vote buying in a county commissioner race in the March 5 primary. While shocking, vote buying is hardly new in North Carolina. Allegations of Buying Votes in Robeson County Lacy Cummings, who lost to Sampson in the March 5 Democratic primary 875 to 870, filed the court...
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Elections Board Violates Own Best Practices in Early Voting Shift

County boards of elections normally have until midsummer to select early voting sites for the November election and submit their lists to the North Carolina State Board of Elections (SBE). That is a best practice because it gives local officials time to secure locations and confirm that they have enough funding from their county governments...
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A “Stephenson Process” for Congressional Districts Can Limit Gerrymandering

Congressional districts should be about the communities they represent, not statewide political considerations, and not splitting counties when redistricting keeps communities wholeIt is possible to use county groupings when drawing congressional districtsA sample map demonstrates how using county groupings can help limit gerrymandering Legislative Districts Should Be About Their Local Communities, Not Statewide Political Interests...
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Election Reforms Have a Mostly Smooth Debut

The General Assembly passed Senate Bill 747 over Gov. Roy Cooper’s veto last October. It delivered a host of election reforms, many of which the John Locke Foundation had advocated for. Those reforms were first implemented in the March 5 primary. In addition, vote ID, which voters approved in 2018, cleared legal hurdles and was...
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How Many Early Voting Days Would Be Best?

Reducing the number of early voting days may be debated in this year’s General Assembly sessionReducing early voting days would likely have little effect on turnoutA possible compromise would be to reduce early voting days but require Sunday voting in every county Since its inception, early voting has been a source of conflict in North...
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The Cost per Vote of North Carolina’s Statewide Primary Elections

While the voter history file has yet to be updated for this year’s primary election, many political analysts and reporters have been looking to pull what information we can about this year’s primary. From examining the primary turnout and unaffiliated voting patterns to analyzing the Ballot Roll-Off, we can gain plenty of information from this...
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Introducing the 2024 Civitas Partisan Index

With the ballot for the North Carolina General Assembly set, this is a good time to get a lay of the electoral landscape ahead of the general elections. With that in mind, here is the 2024 Civitas Partisan Index (CPI). We assigned a rating to each district based on its CPI score. We rate districts...
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Rowan County Early Voting Site Left Unlocked

A concerned citizen forwarded an email to me earlier this week reporting that the Rowan County Board of Elections (BOE) office in Salisbury was left unlocked on the morning of Saturday, February 24. Like in most counties, the Rowan BOE office is used as an early voting site. The problem was discovered by a voter...
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Election Data Will Come Later, But We Will Still Know Results on Election Night

Unlike some states, North Carolina has traditionally reported almost all votes on election night. While that tradition will continue, a recent change in state law will shift back when most votes are reported an hour or two. Early Reporting Made North Carolina a “Red Shift” State Most North Carolinians vote early or by mail. The...
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North Carolina Early Voting Trends: 2024

North Carolina has started its final week of early voting, and with it, we should see a substantial increase in the number of ballots being accepted. This pattern is typically seen in early voting but is more prevalent in primary elections. Since 2012, the last week of early voting during presidential election years sees more...
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